The Fed has released the FOMC statement for this month and voted to reduce the overnight lending rate 50 basis points to 3%.

This reflects the lowest rates have been since June of 2005. The move was made easier after GDP numbers came out this morning lower than expected, mostly on negative housing growth.

The Fed felt it had to lower rates because inflation is not a concern, the economy is spiralling into recession (out of fear, possibly), the market had already priced it in, and today's GDP numbers proved that the economy needs a shot in the arm to pull out of a recession quickly.

You can argue that a little recession would be good, but you can't convince Wall Street of that, and obvious signs of fear and lack of confidence there made the Fed's decision fairly easy.

Here are some photos of the Proton Saga "RED" Concept by Proton Design, which will let some of you soon to be new Proton Saga owners know what modifications could be possible with the car's aesthetics. Having a special kitted up version of each new model launch has been a tradition now, and I hope this continues.
The Proton Saga "RED" Concept features a nice metallic red paintwork, a black roof, nice light grey grill surrounds, and large wheels, complete with a minimal tyre to fender gap. The interior gets a two-tone black and grey design, with red door trim, red seats and a grey-red trimmed steering wheel.

At the time of writing I am somewhere in Putrajaya. Its sound proof and no mobile phone can get a signal in here.

Trade gone bad. EU has actually hit my 1st target but I didnt close it. Now every trade has hit SL. No more trade for now.

Im going back to Kota Kinabalu this afternoon. My flight is at 3pm. See you later

US Fed has cut benckmark Fed Fund rates by 75 basis points to 3.50% and it has cut the Discount rates by 75 basis points as well.

This cut has managed to bring immediate immediate relief to carry-trades and the stock indices.

The statement with the rate cut is given below...

The Federal Open Market Committee has decided to lower its target for the federal funds rate 75 basis points to 3-1/2 percent.

The Committee took this action in view of a weakening of the economic outlook and increasing downside risks to growth. While strains in short-term funding markets have eased somewhat, broader financial market conditions have continued to deteriorate and credit has tightened further for some businesses and households. Moreover, incoming information indicates a deepening of the housing contraction as well as some softening in labor markets.

The Committee expects inflation to moderate in coming quarters, but it will be necessary to continue to monitor inflation developments carefully.

Appreciable downside risks to growth remain. The Committee will continue to assess the effects of financial and other developments on economic prospects and will act in a timely manner as needed to address those risks.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Charles L. Evans; Thomas M. Hoenig; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Eric S. Rosengren; and Kevin M. Warsh. Voting against was William Poole, who did not believe that current conditions justified policy action before the regularly scheduled meeting next week. Absent and not voting was Frederic S. Mishkin.

In a related action, the Board of Governors approved a 75-basis-point decrease in the discount rate to 4 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Chicago and Minneapolis.

Effect:
I was up 3k on the demo account but now its -1.6k. This is something unexpected and market is trying to find a new balance point. At the moment that point is still unknown. EurUsd was dropping like WWII plane shot down now its going up again. In another angle what we see here is a correction. An act done by US Fed to slow down the drop by EurUsd.

Beauty about forex market is it will not turn on you in an instant. At the moment trend is still intact eventhough UsdChf has turn but with out support from other pairs it may not go very far.

Ive open a demo account to test my final system. Final coz I dont see anyway I can improve it somemore. It has been the same in the last 3 months with no more room to improve.

Its a medium term trade system. Trade between 2-4 times a month only with target of doubling capital each month.

For those of you who like to monitor the trade can login to investors account as below:

Metatrader 4 Terminal
Login : 112328
Investor : qjxx1rm (read only password)
Server : 74.86.131.115:443 or 88.85.79.65:443

You are welcome to monitor. Any idea on improvement is much appreciated.

At last the trend is broken. EU is changing direction but unfortunately that last dip was too much. A correction is coming before we can consider a short entry.

Same story with Uchf. Long entry on next low

Disebabkan signal lom kluar dan aku hari ni makan lunch laju, jadi ada masa sikit nak berceloteh kat sini. Citer apa saja yang terlintas difikiran aku

Mula-mula sekali aku cemburu dengan ramai orang. Ramai orang mempunyai masa yang berlebihan sehingga boleh membuang masa. Dalam 1 hari cuma ada 24jam saja. Takleh tambah atau kurang. Nak dibeli dengan seberapa banyak duit pun takleh. Jadi bila aku tengok orang duk melepak dan takde buat apa, aku rasa cemburu. Orang tu ada banyak masa dan boleh dibuang sesuka hati.

Kepada aku lak, aku rasa macam masa tu tak cukup. Aku ada kerja tetap, time office hours aku sibuk ngan keje office aku. Disamping tu aku buat network marketing edymium. Dimasa yang sama aku study forex dan trade forex. Kenapa aku kata study dan trade?? Bak kata orang keje sambil belajar sebab forex ni terlalu banyak bidang yang perlu dipelajari sebelum kita betul betul mahir.

Dimasa yang sama kemahiran aku yang lain seperti membaiki kereta, motor, alat elektrik, komputer, wiring, networking, sound system dan beberapa lagi masih aku teruskan pembelajarannya. Ini kerana kemahiran tu perlukan latihan yang berterusan disamping ilmu yang amat luas utk dipelajari.

Jadi bila bila masa korang terjumpa satu mamat yang takde keje, takde duit dan duduk melepak membuang masa, korang perlu cemburu pada mamat tu pasal dia mewah dengan masa. Masa itu tidak boleh dibeli dengan duit. Mamat tu adalah orang kaya sebenarnya.

After much thinking, I have decided to take only medium and long term trade only. This is to avoid those noise in the market which will lead to losses.

Medium term are trades that run from 1 week and can last for 4 weeks. Its more of riding the trend.

Long term trades are trades that can lasts for years. Last long term trade for EU lasted for 2 years.

Due to this strategy I may be trading between 2-4 times the most a month. Its boring but its safer compared to short term trading. Furthermore I will have much more time for other things in life.

Hopefully I can post a full medium term trade signal by this week or the next.

Another interesting articles from my friends over at Elliottwave.

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Why the Fed is Such a Lousy Wizard of Oz
By Susan C. Walker, Elliott Wave InternationalSeptember 7, 2007

Central bankers who "follow the yellow brick road" end up in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, every Labor Day weekend for their annual symposium sponsored by – who else? – the Kansas City Fed. (Who can forget Judy Garland saying to her little dog, "Toto, I've got a feeling we're not in Kansas anymore," in the 1939 movie, The Wizard of Oz?)

The Jackson Hole Resort serves as the Federal Reserve's equivalent of the Emerald City, as Fed governors and presidents meet with central bankers and economists from around the world to discuss economic issues. This year, the symposium focused on housing and monetary policy. Usually, the Fed chairman kicks off the symposium and, this year, the new chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, did the honors. He closed his speech with these words:

"The interaction of housing, housing finance, and economic activity has for years been of central importance for understanding the behavior of the economy, and it will continue to be central to our thinking as we try to anticipate economic and financial developments."

Then came the other speeches. And it seems that some of the guests in Emerald City were waiting for their chance to pull back the curtain and prove that the Wonderful Wizard of Oz isn't such a wizard after all. Bloomberg reported that "Federal Reserve officials, wrestling with a housing recession that jeopardizes U.S. growth, got an earful from critics at a weekend retreat, arguing they should use regulation and interest rates to prevent asset-price bubbles."

Apparently, one academic paper presented at Jackson Hole graded the Fed an 'F' for the way it has handled the repercussions from the rise and fall of the housing market.

Truth be told, these folks are a little late to the table as critics of the Fed. We're glad they're joining us, but here's what they still haven't learned: It isn't because the Federal Reserve messes up by allowing credit, asset and stock bubbles to form that it's not a wizard. The Federal Reserve isn't a wizard for one particular reason that it doesn't want anybody to know – and that is that the Fed doesn't lead the financial markets, it follows them.

People everywhere want to believe in the Fed's wizardry. But all this talk about how the Fed will be able to help the U.S. economy and hold up the markets by cutting rates now is as much hooey as the Wizard of Oz promising Dorothy, the Scarecrow, the Tin Man and the Cowardly Lion that he could give them what they wanted: a return to Kansas, a brain, a heart, and courage. Because when the Fed does do something, it always comes after the markets have already made their moves.

If you don't believe it, you should look at one chart from the most recent Elliott Wave Financial Forecast. It compares the movements in the Fed Funds rate with the movements of the 3-month U.S. Treasury Bill Yield. What does it reveal? That the Fed has followed the T-Bill yield up and down every step of the way since 2000. And the interesting question becomes this: Since the T-bill yield has dropped nearly two points since February, how soon will the Fed cut its rate to follow the market's lead this time?

[Editor's note: You can see this chart and read the Special Section it appears in by accessing the free report, The Unwonderful Wizardry of the Fed.]

We've got our own brains, heart and courage here at Elliott Wave International, and we've used them to explain over and over again that putting faith in the Fed to turn around the markets and the economy is blind faith indeed.

"This blind faith in the Fed's power to hold up the economy and stocks epitomizes the following definition of magic offered by Teller of the illusionist and comedy team of Penn and Teller: a 'theatrical linking of a cause with an effect that has no basis in physical reality, but that – in our hearts – ought to be.'" [September 2007, The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast]

Because, you see, what makes the markets move has less to do with what the unwizardly Fed does and more with changes in the mass psychology of all the people investing in those markets. The Elliott Wave Principle describes how bullish and bearish trends in the financial markets reflect changes in social mood, from positive to negative and back again. To extend the metaphor: The Fed can't affect social mood anymore than the Wonderful Wizard of Oz could change the direction of the wind that brought his hot air balloon to the Land of Oz in the first place.

As our EWI analysts write, "With respect to the timing of the Federal Reserve Board rate cuts, we need to reiterate one key point. The market, not the Fed, sets rates." Being able to understand this information puts you one step closer to clicking your ruby red shoes together and whispering those magic words: "There's no place like home." Once you land back in Kansas, your eyes will open, and you will see that an unwarranted faith in the Fed was just a bad dream.

Susan C. Walker writes for Elliott Wave International, a market forecasting and technical analysis company. She has been an associate editor with Inc. magazine, a newspaper writer and editor, an investor relations executive and a speechwriter for the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. Her columns also appear regularly on FoxNews.com.

*********************************

Happy Trading!!

ForexJourney

I was watching the charts today. My trade gone bad, suddenly it came to me. How to steal money off forex market. It came to me. The answer is as clear as broad daylight. Why I havent seen it earlier. The answer is right there infront of my eyes for so long.

Since I have found the answer now its time to take it into play. Time is running short. I need to confirm my findings by end of April. Good luck everyone

OK, so you just pulled the trigger on a trade and every bone in your body told you not to. You violated the rules dictated in your trade plan and you watched a small profit immediately turn into a major loss.

Sound familiar? What do you do?

You get over it, that’s what you do! Regret over a bad trade will eat your account from the inside out. Regret is a more powerful emotion than most traders recognize. It is like the unwanted guest that keeps living off of your bank account until there is no more left. It takes most traders into a tailspin that they will never recover. It can lead to dangerous psychological results such as failure to pull the trigger over even worse, paralysis by analysis.

“Yeah, but…” (I will save the disempowerment of this statement for another day)

It’s not easy putting those emotions aside when your money is on the line. That’s why they called it trading, folks. In Forex someone is on the other side of the trade controlling their emotions and eventually controlling your account balance. If you want to find consistency you must never let regret live in your trading experience.

Here’s what I do to combat this debilitating emotion … I get over it! How do I do this? I simply perform a post mortem of my bad trades (I still have them every now and then) and keep a detailed journal. Over time I began to recognize my personal triggers and simply tweaked my trade plan to be a more proactive currency trader and avoid the situations that led to the bad trade in the first place, in my instance over-trading or being tired.

What trader do I model my approach after? The answer may surprise you!

The answer is Tiger Woods.

I play golf, so you could imagine I am a huge fan of Tiger Woods. There are a lot of similarities between golf and trading. Both venues offer a look at who we are as a person, raw and uncensored. Both live in the world of risk and reward.

I admire Tiger Woods skill as a golfer, but even more so his mental toughness. Next time you watch Tiger Wood hit a bad shot follow his reaction. His immediate reaction is to get upset, really upset. Then count 5 seconds. His expressions and demeanor will have returned to one of focus and concentration.

And the funny thing is that is doesn’t matter what kind of prize money is online. He takes the same approach to every golf shot, in every tournament.

Let’s translate that to trading. Do you give yourself 5 seconds to get over a bad trade? Do you take the same approach to every trade?

Stop living in the world of regret and only think about the possibilities of wining trades and you will find your experiences trading the Forex market one filled with achievement and success.

Happy Trading!!

ForexJourney

If you're wondering how the housing market collapse in the US will impact your favorite Central Banker (and interest rates), here's an interesting article to help support your fundamental Forex analysis:

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Suddenly, It's a Bleak Midwinter for Housing and Lending

By Susan C. Walker, Elliott Wave International

January 7, 2008

In the bleak midwinter, Frosty wind made moan,Earth stood hard as iron, Water like a stone…(From "A Christmas Carol" by Christina Rossetti)
Shawn Colvin sings a beautiful song based on this poem by Christina Rossetti, reminding us of the bleakness of midwinter. That is exactly where the housing market seems to be now – facing its very own bleak midwinter of falling prices, rising mortgage rates and growing inventories.

The latest report of the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index shows that the price of houses fell 6.7% in October, year over year. That is the largest year-to-year decline drop since April 1991.

Think of it – if you had bought a home for $300,000 in October 2006, it is now worth about $280,000. And suppose you just got a new job and need to move? You are going to have trouble selling it at that price, too, thanks to so many foreclosed homes on the market. One realtor in Phoenix explained to a Wall Street Journal reporter that local residents are now competing with foreclosed homes selling for $50,000 to $100,000 less than other houses on the market. "The sellers now are having to reduce their prices by 20% to 30% to compete," she says. (Wall Street Journal, "Pace of Decline in Home Prices Sets a Record," 12/27/07)

At a meeting of the New York Society of Security Analysts on January 7, U.S. Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson said this about the U.S. economy: "We will likely have further indications of slower growth in the weeks and months ahead.''

Paulson and central bankers at the U.S. Federal Reserve recognize that they, too, face their own bleak financial midwinter. It's not just the mayhem brought on by the subprime mortgage debacle, the implosion of the housing market and the ensuing credit crunch; nor is it that the U.S. economy lurches toward a recession and hard times.

No, it is something bigger than that. Public opinion or social mood, as we call it here at Elliott Wave International, has shifted from positive to negative. When that happens, financial heroes find themselves falling from their pedestals onto frozen earth hard as iron.

Exhibit A - The headline of a recent article on Bloomberg: "Paulson Gets Diminishing Return with Bush, Like Powell, O'Neill" and the lead: "Henry Paulson escaped the Nixon White House with his reputation enhanced. He won't be so lucky this time around."

Exhibit B - The lead from a recent column by David Ignatius in the Washington Post:
"When airport rescue crews are worried that a damaged plane may have a crash landing, they sometimes spread the runway with foam to reduce the probability of fire on impact. That's what the Federal Reserve and other central banks are doing in pumping liquidity into severely damaged financial markets. Make no mistake: The central bankers' announcement Wednesday of a new coordinated effort to pump cash into the global financial system is a sign of their nervousness…."
Nervousness is in the air now. Investors are anxious about the markets; everyone is worried about the housing market.

Our Elliott Wave Financial Forecast December issue explains how housing starts (and stops) are intimately tied to recessions: "One key indicator of success in pre-dating economic downturns is housing starts, which are approaching the 1-million-a-month level that has preceded all recessions of the last 40 years."

And the Fed is nervous, too. So much so that it announced a credit giveaway with four other major central banks (the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank and the Swiss National Bank) in mid-December to try to bolster the financial system and the banks that keep it humming. The Fed reports that banks have been stepping up to its auction window each week to purchase $20 billion. Unfortunately for the banks, most of this "liquidity" isn't that liquid. It has to be paid back within 30 days, with interest of about 4.65%.

Editor's note: Elliott Wave International has agreed to make available to our readers a 2-1/2-page excerpt from Bob Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist in which he describes exactly how the Fed's latest effort to shore up banks' balance sheets has become "High Noon for the Fed's Credibility." Click here to read the Theorist excerpt.

Just how bleak is the future for central bankers if this recently implemented plan doesn't work? Bob Prechter explains in his just-published Theorist:

"Nevertheless, this is probably the single most important central-bank pronouncement yet. But it is not significant for the reasons people think. By far most people take such pronouncements at face value, presume that what the authorities promise will happen and reason from there. But the tremendous significance of this seismic engagement of the monetary jawbone is that if this announcement fails to restore confidence, central bankers' credibility will evaporate."

"At least that's the way historians will play it. But of course, the true causality, as elucidated by socionomics, is that an evaporation of confidence will make the central bankers' plans fail. The outcome is predicated on psychology."

The "socionomics" Prechter refers to is a new social science he has introduced that studies how humans behave in groups within contexts of uncertainty – where fluctuations in social mood motivate social actions. It explains that rather than an event happening that affects social mood (for example, falling home prices make people feel bad), what really happens is that social mood changes first from positive to negative and then lousy things happen (for example, unhappy people make home prices fall). If you can adopt this point of view, then you can see that, in poetic terms, we are fast approaching a bleak midwinter for the economy and the financial markets.

Susan C. Walker writes for Elliott Wave International, a market forecasting and technical analysis company. She has been an associate editor with Inc. magazine, a newspaper writer and editor, an investor relations executive and a speechwriter for the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. Her columns also appear regularly on FoxNews.com.

***************************************

Happy Trading!!

ForexJourney.com

For this week I would only trade on 3 pairs. They are Eur/Usd, Usd/Chf and Usd/Jpy.

Eur/Usd
At the moment is having difficulty to rise forcing for a correction soon. The trade would be to short Eur/Usd @ 1.4700 or better.

Usd/Chf
No confirmation at the moment but trade setup is close to perfect. Long Usd/Chf @ 1.1150 or better

Usd/Jpy
Currently the only Jpy pair that I would trade. No confirmation yet but if all goes well I would Long Usd/Jpy @ 109.00 or better.

As usual forex is a risky business. Protect yourself at all time. Use stop loss appropriately

Whether you are a novice Forex trader or a seasoned veteran one aspect you must always take into account is to ensure your lifestyle supports successful trading. Forex trading is no different from any other endeavor in life. Whether you are employee, employer or self-employed you must take the time and effort to ensure your environment is conducive to your success.

Take a look at your surroundings and make sure your lifestyle supports you being a successful Forex trader. Take in all the factors of success (how YOU define success) evaluate your factors to make sure your trading is:

Specific – Do you have specific trading goals and objectives? Do you have a trading plan? Ask yourself is your plan to general?

Measurable – Do you have systems in place to objectively measure your performance? If you don’t know your numbers then do you really have a trading business?

Has a Timeline – Do you have a timeline for which you are measuring your goals and objectives against?

Controllable – There are many aspects in Forex trading you can’t control, ensure that the areas your can control are firmly defined and managed with discipline.

Programmed Into Your Lifestyle – Are your Forex trading activities programmed and congruent with your lifestyle? Balance is important so make sure this passes the test!

Taken in Small Steps - This business is a marathon and not a sprint. Start off with small steps and build. The best practice trading principals do not change with account size.

Accountable – Forex trading (or any trading for that matter) can be such an isolated activity. Find ways to have others participate and hold you accountable for your goals. Make it real and measurable!

True Forex success is built through smart work and dedication. By establishing the trading lifestyle that best supports your personality will guarantee prolonged success. Remember, it is your Forex Journey. Be sure you enjoy the ride!

Happy Trading!!

This year my new year celebration is a bit different from before. At the stroke of midnight I was on a plane cruising some 20,000 feet above sea level on my way home.

There is no celebration just the steward wishing a happy new year to all the passanger.

This year I plan to run my system full throttle for 4 months and lets see how good it is. By the end of april if I manage to gain massive profit, I would be going back to KL and have a meeting with my friends. Some of which are very amazed on how I could make huge profit from forex and are asking me to trade for them.

Until then I will not post my live trading result. Only my demo account on Marketiva. Hopefully I can be Marketiva Masters for 4 months and only then the result would be good enough for me.